Tuesday, September 16, 2008

X for Y, or X meets Y

Recently, it feels like many internet based businesses being born in the valley are not revolutionary new technologies, business models, or use cases. Rather, they fall into one of two categories:
  • X meets Y
Or
  • X for Y
A great example of this is Yammer, which won first place at last week's TC50 conference. What is Yammer? It is "twitter for the Enterprise". Don't get me wrong, I like Yammer and think it could do very well as a micro-blogging service in the enterprise, but is it a revolutionary new technology, business model, or use case? No, but it does fill a gap as twitter had not yet made much traction in the Enterprise. An "X for Y" service such as Yammer winning first place at a premier silicon valley conference such as TC50 is a clear indication of the state of the valley.

I think there are two reasons for what we are seeing. We are either at the top of the S curve in the evolution of the internet
or we are creating businesses with the objective of having a quick exit. My opinion is that many of the ideas being generated around the valley today are focused on how can we get a quick exit, versus how can we build a business that can grow into a profitable standalone enterprise. Sure, the opportunity for a quick exit exists in these copy/paste type of businesses, but the real opportunities and up sides are in new revolutionary plays. My own belief is that we are not yet at the top of the S curve by any means, but somewhere in the middle with a whole lot of opportunities for services that leverage the data layer more deeply ready to be born.

2 comments:

Nathan D said...

I hope you're right -- top of the curve would be a bummer...

That said, when in the last 10 years haven't there been companies at the "top of the heap" that fit that mold? If nothing else, both formulations are usually just easy ways to communicate even the newest of ideas. Truly new categories are born very rarely, and even when they are they are often introduced to the world through some kind of comparison to what has come before, no?

Kenny Kellogg said...

good post